Today was the perfect sunny day, you know the kind of day I’m talking about, a light breeze, warm sun, not a cloud in the sky. The air even smells different on days like today, it makes you feel full of life and excitement like you could tackle anything. Unfortunately, today is a Wednesday and I can only look out my window and sigh from my climate-controlled office building. It’s days like this that make me pause and remind myself why I want to be Financially Independent.
Up here in Eastern Canada We only have four months of summer and when you really think about that it only leaves you with 34 nonworking days all summer ( assuming you don’t take any vacation time). So what if today was a rare kind of day a 1 in 100 kinda day, a day that the stars align and everything goes right. Let’s see how many of these perfect days we can expect to enjoy over a summer.
Time to bust out the math, the odds of this 1 in 100 day happening on any given day is obviously 1% and each summer you have 34 chances (4.33 weeks per month X 2 days off per week X 4 months of summer) of it occurring on a weekend. The math tells us that you have a 29 % chance of having a perfect day line up with your weekend in any given year. If you extrapolate that out statistically you’re guaranteed one perfect day on a weekend every 16 years.
Wow, isn’t that a kick in the face, now looking at the Table below the odds are pretty good that your perfect sunny day will fall on a weekend every 5-6 years, a lot better than 16 but still not great, but it’s only statistically guaranteed every 16 years. That’s about three guaranteed perfect days in a 45-year working career. Considering the average human life expectancy in North America is 80 years that means you are only guaranteed 3 absolutely perfect days in half your lifetime.
Year |
The Probability of Failure per Day (%) |
Cumulative Chances (Days) |
Odds of Success (%) |
1 |
99 |
34 |
29 |
2 |
99 |
68 |
50 |
3 |
99 |
102 |
64 |
4 |
99 |
136 |
75 |
5 |
99 |
170 |
82 |
6 |
99 |
204 |
87 |
7 |
99 |
238 |
91 |
8 |
99 |
272 |
94 |
9 |
99 |
306 |
95 |
10 |
99 |
340 |
97 |
11 |
99 |
374 |
98 |
12 |
99 |
408 |
98 |
13 |
99 |
442 |
99 |
14 |
99 |
476 |
99 |
15 |
99 |
510 |
99 |
16 |
99 |
544 |
100 |
Now that you have let the horrifying math settle in think about how often you have had your weekend so packed full of errands and chores that it won’t of mattered how amazing the day was there were just too many things that had to be done and too few days to do it in that it was inconceivable to just enjoy an entire day.
When you think how rare this commodity is it really drives home the importance of financial independence, being in control of your own time and being able to enjoy all the wonderful things that life has to offer.
Move to Southern California! Just kidding. We have worse problems than weather here. 🙂
Love the math and how you broke down probability. It’s definitely a reality check.
Another benefit of achieving FI is the ability to travel more. Need a break from your cold winter and want 10 perfect weather days in a row? Easy, just take the family to Mexico for a trip. No work, no worries!
Relocating to a sunnier climate has definitely crossed my mind, but I actually like winter at times and I definitely wouldn’t want to go without it. That’s why your comment on being able to travel south is perfect!